NEW YORK — After a cool and wet start to the holiday weekend, the rain moved out in time to enjoy outdoor Fourth of July activities. Any isolated showers around the tri-state region will be short-lived Sunday evening. It’s the coolest Fourth of July we’ve had in the last five years. The last time highs reached the 70s at Central Park on the Fourth of July was 2015.
Much warmer air is on the way as winds continue to switch gears to a more southerly flow. Overnight lows are slated to bottom out in the mid 60s, a few degrees warmer than Saturday night. You’ll also wake up to areas of fog which should dissipate by daybreak.
Additionally, seasonable highs will return Monday with highs reaching the low 80s under a mix of sun and clouds. Then, brace yourselves for the heat and humidity.
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Expect a return of the 90s with heat indices approaching 100 degrees Tuesday and Wednesday. There could be late day scattered showers and storms Tuesday and Wednesday with rain becoming more widespread on Thursday. Some of that moisture may be from Elsa as the storm gets absorbed into a cold front. As always, stay tuned for updates.
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Tracking the Tropics
Elsa is already setting records. It became the earliest fifth named tropical storm and is the first hurricane of the 2021 season.
Sunday, Elsa barreled toward Cuba, leaving devastation behind and caused three fatalities in the Caribbean, according to reports. As of the 5 p.m. update, Elsa remains a tropical storm and has weakened and slowed down since becoming the first hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
With maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and moving 14 mph, the storm will make a northwest turn and enter the Gulf. It’s expected to make landfall north of Tampa, Florida, Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning.
Widespread heavy rain will continue across southern Haiti and Jamaica with a chance of flash flooding and mudslides. There will also be severe weather across the Cayman Islands and Cuba into Monday. As Elsa approaches the Florida Keys through midweek, heavy rain and flooding will ravage the area affecting recovery efforts from the building collapse in Miami.
An average of 2-4 inches of rain is expected with locally higher amounts. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Cuba, Jamaica and the Keys. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the southwest coast of Florida.