Crisp, cool weekend with slight chance for rain

Weather

NEW YORK — After record highs this past week, temperatures will feel significantly cooler in the days leading up to Halloween. Additionally, you can expect much-needed rainfall to hit the area. On the heels of 10.54 inches of rain in September, it’s been a struggle this month. However, the expected rainfall this week will bring some relief to the over 2.5-inch deficit. 

In fact, it was a wet start on Saturday, with highs reaching the upper 50s in the city, which is about 10 degrees cooler than Friday. Evening showers will give way to mostly cloudy skies overnight followed by sunshine and highs in the low 60s on Sunday. 

Rain is slated to return late Sunday night into early Monday morning. Showers will be replaced with afternoon Sun and highs in the 70s. But the warmup will be short lived as a cold front sweeps across the region bringing cooler air and more rain to the tri-state area. So, keep the umbrella handy through mid-week. The heaviest rain is expected to fall Monday night into Tuesday morning with another round Tuesday into Wednesday.

Anticipate a mix of sun and clouds on Thursday with highs near 60 degrees, followed by more showers on Friday and Saturday. Finally, there could be a few morning showers on Halloween, but conditions are expected to be dry for trick-or-treating with temperatures in the 60s.

What to expect this winter

NOAA released its Winter Outlook and reports a La Niña pattern, which is consistent with cooler-than-normal waters in the equatorial parts of the Pacific Ocean. These sea surface temperature changes can influence weather patterns across the globe. Additionally, the Polar Vortex can play an important role in the months ahead.

That said, NOAA predicts above average temperatures across the northeast this winter. However, there could be a weak Polar Vortex, which can lead to frigid air descending across the region. As far as precipitation is concerned, anticipate equal chances for below-, near- or above-average precipitation. As always, stay tuned for updates.

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