Polar Vortex’s blast of cold keeps heavy snow AWAY from New York City area

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PIX11 WEATHER CENTER — A cold front is dropping through our region this evening. This is the pathway that waves of  low pressure will travel along, spreading snow and ice across a large swath of the nation east of the Mississippi over towards the east coast.  The problem over the last few days has been determining where that line will eventually stop and sit. A few days ago, it appeared it would be very close to us and we’d receive heavy amounts of snow in our viewing area.

However, the bitter cold air behind the front is heavy and still pushing down. As a result, the front will be suppressed further south. So it now looks like the most active path for the snow will be from the Ohio and Tennessee Valley eastward to the DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia and Atlantic City corridor.

So our snowfall estimate has been substantially lowered around the NYC area. Only a coating to an inch or two is expected to the north. In fact, well up the Hudson Valley and adjacent Connecticut, there may only be flurries.

For now, northern New Jersey between I-80 and I-78, into the city and across Long Island, we’re looking at a 1-3 inches, locally up to 4 inches of snowfall.  The snow will pile higher as you go south through central into southern New Jersey. It will quickly ramp up to 3-6″ to I- 195 and potentially 6-plus inches down in the lower third of the State.

Keep in mind with this scenario, Monday morning travel will be toughest if your plans bring you down to Philly, Baltimore or DC where there is the potential for 1 foot or more.

All of this will be accompanied by bitter cold temperatures and winds for the next two days. There are signs the mercury could get back closer to normal toward the end of the week but we’ll also be watching a couple more storms trying to decide what path they’ll take.