NEW YORK (PIX11) – If the polls are a true barometer, then Bill de Blasio will be the 109th Mayor of the City of New York. He could set a record in a race in which an incumbent is not running. His meteoric rise may have as much to do with voter discontent with Republicans as it does with the appeal of his message.
The latest New York Times, Sienna College poll gives deBlasio a 45 point lead over Lhota. Though the Republican has picked up a few undecided voters, he’s failed to cut into the more than two-third of likley voters who continue to support de Blasio. If nothing changes between now and next week’s election, he could score that largest margin of victory by a non-incumbent in the city’s history.
The previous record was set by Abe Beame’s 40-point victory in 1973. Mayor Robert Wagner won re-election with a 41-point edge in 1957 and Ed Koch proved the greatest vote-getter of them all, winning a third term with a crushing 68 point margin of victory. A Democrat hasn’t bee elected to City Hall in almost 25 years.
With much anti-Republican sentiment, even among Republican voters — 1 in 5 say they favor de Blasio — Lhota’s message has failed to resonate. He’s also been hurt by de Blasio’s relentless efforts to link him to the Tea Party. A shift in New York’s demographics has also impacted this election. The majority of the city’s population is now non-white, minorities who tend to favor democratic policies.