(PIX WEATHER CENTER)– What a great way to start March with mostly sunny skies and temperatures making a rebound to the mid to upper 30s.
Unfortunately most of what we saw today will be short lived. A potential winter storm is expected to impact the tri-state Sunday night into Monday.
An approaching cold front Saturday night and into Sunday will bring in a reinforcing shot of colder air. Out ahead of this front a band of very light snow and/or mix may develop.
No real accumulation is expected throughout the day Sunday.
As the cold front, associated with a strong high pressure system to the north, sags further south, a secondary wave of low pressure from the west will begin to develop and slide across it.
The question becomes how strong is this arctic front and where does the heavy band of snow set up?
Tracking all of these pieces is critical. If the arctic front is too overbearing as is suggested and pushes further south then there will be a very sharp cut-off as to how much snow does fall across northern sections of New Jersey, NYC, Long Island and Connecticut.
Now based upon the current trend the northern sections including NYC could receive between 3 to 6 inches of snow, while southern parts of New Jersey could see over 6 inches.
If the storm does take a more northerly track then a more significant storm is possible.
After Monday, things do settle down but temperatures remain below normal.