What to expect and when as snowstorm hits tri-state area

  

PIX11 WEATHER CENTER —  Anytime you are talking about transition from snow to rain, it’s really quite difficult to predict. Here’s how we see it right now:

  • All areas will start with a burst of heavy to moderate snow, starting from 1 a.m. through 6 a.m.
  • Then the transition begins. Snow will start mixing with rain first in Suffolk County, starting at 8 a.m. It will go back to rain by midday Thursday then back to snow at night.

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  • Nassau County begins to changeover at 9 a.m. and goes to rain in the afternoon before going back to snow.
  • New York City will have snow from 1 a.m. Between 10 and noon, a mixing occurs, followed  by period of rain showers during the afternoon before going back to snow at night.
  •  40 miles to the north and west will get 10 to 14 inches of snow with very little mixing.

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  • The Jersey Shore will get between two and four inches, with higher amounts away from the shoreline.
  • Accumulations will be very hard to measure, because it will snow in the beginning and end of the storm, with sleet and rain in between presenting challenges.

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  • That being said, here are rough predictions: two to four for Suffolk, three to five for Nassau, five to nine for the city, 10 to 14 well north and west and two to four down the Jersey shore.
  • If the storm shifts to the right, there will be more snow. Any shift to the left means more rain.
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