An area of low pressure off the coast of the Carolinas is slowly drifting our way, and could dump as much as 2 inches of rain in parts of the tri-state area on Thursday.
The National Weather Service has issued coastal flood advisories for parts of the area in anticipation of strong northeasterly winds that could cause some minor flooding during high tide Thursday afternoon.
Rain could develop after midnight, but the bulk of the precipitation may not occur until the afternoon commute.
With a complex storm like this, there is still a lot of uncertainty about how much rain we will get. It all depends on a pair of high pressure systems to our north that are expected to suppress this storm to the south. What we definitely know is that areas from Route 278 and southward will get the heaviest rain. These areas can easily get between 1 and 2 inches. Further north, we are projecting anywhere from half an inch to an inch for the city and Long Island.
The rain is supposed to taper off the showers by Friday morning, but the threat of wet weather will persist into Saturday morning.
The good news is that given the recent lack of rainfall, the chance for fresh water flooding will be minimal at best. While the rain will be heavy at times, that likely won’t be enough to cause rivers to overflow their banks.